scouting the falcons
i watched the falcons and the niners today, and here's what i saw:
the falcons didn't run the ball well at all, and matt ryan was extremely inconsistent. michael turner had a few good runs, but the niner D had him pretty well bottled up most of the day, a lot of which was because of patrick willis, the consummate beast. for anyone who questioned just how good he is, he made four solo tackles within two yards of the line of scrimmage, and he sifted through traffic and avoided blockers to make them.
it'll be interesting to see whom the coaching staff chooses to match up against roddy white. he runs fantastic routes, but a strong corner, brown or haden, should be able to press him at the line and take him off his game, and eric wright's speed matches up well against harry douglas, which really only leaves the question of whom to put on tony gonzalez, which i think has to be sheldon brown, because he's got the size/strength combo to match up with gonzalez. the only problem in all of that is that it leaves a rookie isolated on the falcons' best receiver, which could be a recipe for massive disaster, but there simply isn't a LB on the roster who can stay with gonzalez.
the falcons' D got good pressure on smith, which was part of what threw off his game this week and seems to be a recurring theme. smith's protection is very inconsistent, and when guys get in on him, they do it quickly, though he did throw a completely inexcusable INT on a jump pass off his back foot late over the middle to frank gore that sailed high, went off gore's hand, and into a LB's hands. it was a pass he never should have thrown and one that pressure definitely didn't cause. though the falcons only got a single sack and three QB hits, they did a lot that doesn't show up. their pressure caused hurried, inaccurate throws, but i don't think they'll be able to throw anything at our O-line that they can't handle as long as we keep a back in to handle any right-side overload blitzes. their 4-3 isn't a huge concern like the ravens' or steelers' 3-4s are, nor does it present the potential for confusion that other defenses do. it's a pretty straightforward D.
when the browns are on offense, they're going to have to run the ball effectively, not for two yards per carry. that's what did the niners in today; frank gore couldn't get anything going, which put the game in alex smith's tiny hands. likewise, peyton hillis is going to have to get the browns into second and six on a consistent basis, which will then make play action a viable weapon and keep the offense out of third-and-long situations.
the receivers need to step up their respective games, but that kind of goes without saying. crabtree was able to get open and get catches, as was vernon davis. the falcons' D is vulnerable if the QB is willing to throw downfield. whoever our QB is just needs to believe in the guys he's throwing to enough to take chances.
our D should be able to get to ryan fairly well. the falcons' O-line surrendered three sacks to the niners, two to parys haralson and one to travis laboy, and matt roth and marcus benard are easily the equivalent of those two guys if not better than they are. if we're able to add shaun rogers into that mix along with the occasional creative blitz, harassing ryan into mistakes is a distinct possibility.
however, it's all going to start with shutting down the falcons' running game. michael turner is always a threat, and if the browns don't stop by shutting him down and forcing ryan into second and third and longs, the defense will wear down and become vulnerable to play action, and the falcons will be able to do whatever they want.
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