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Browns vs. Bills Preview

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Old 12-12-2010
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Browns-Bills: Don's Game Preview


By Don Delco
OBR Reporter
Posted Dec 11, 2010




Can the Bills stop Browns RB Peyton Hillis? Stats say no, but...

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The 5-7 Cleveland Browns should have little trouble defeating the 2-10 Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

So why is there this underlying feeling of trepidation? Welcome to Cleveland Browns football. This Browns team appears to struggle in the favorite role and thrive when labeled the underdogs.

Think about it. This season, when the Browns were considered to have no chance beating New Orleans and New England — two Ws. Remember when the Browns were expected to start the season 2-0?

Try 0-2.

Buffalo, like Cleveland, is a team with a below-.500 record, but contending teams do not want to play. Some of the NFL’s best teams have had close calls against these Bills.
  • New England won 38-30 on Sept. 26.
  • Baltimore won 37-34 in overtime on Oct. 24.
  • Kansas City won 13-10 in overtime on Oct. 31.
  • Chicago won 22-19 on Nov. 7.
  • Pittsburgh won 19-16 in overtime on Nov. 28.
While Cleveland has been able to pull off some close games this year, Buffalo ends up on the losing end in these situations. A big reason why is something the Browns have struggled with in season’s past: The Bills can’t defend the run.

Buffalo is last in the NFL allowing 2,051 yards rushing this season.
The next closest team, Denver, allowed 308 fewer rushing yards. Opponents are averaging 4.7 yards per carry and 170.9 yards rushing per game.

Somewhere Browns running back Peyton Hillis, fullback Lawrence Vickers and the Browns’ offensive line is smiling.

Cleveland is 14th in the NFL averaging 111.4 yards rushing a game. As a team, the Browns have 1,337 yards rushing on 331 carries (4.2 average) and 15 touchdowns.

In recent weeks, the Browns have played stout front sevens and opposing defensive coordinators have decided in order to stop the Browns offense, stop Peyton Hillis.

On Nov. 21, Jacksonville’s defense keyed on Hillis and two weeks later Miami did the same. Hillis rushed for 48 yards on 21 carries against the Jaguars and had 57 yards on 18 carries against the Dolphins. The good news is the last time the Browns faced an opponent among the league’s worst defending the run — Carolina on Nov. 28 — Hillis went for 131 yards on 26 carries and three touchdowns.

“They’re a good defense,” Hillis said. “They have got a couple of good pass rushers, big guys up front in the d-line. It’s just going to be another game that we have to prepare for and go out and execute. No matter what the conditions are, we have to go out there and do that.”

If the Browns can effectively run the ball, and thanks to those aforementioned stats it appears as if they can, it keeps the hands out of the Bills offense.

Yes, the vaunted Bills offense.

First, we interrupted this game preview with a weather report for Sunday, Dec. 12. Hollie Strano was unavailable so I’ll do my best: Temperatures in the upper 20s with south winds 10-12 mph and a chance of precipitation 90 percent.

“I really do love this weather,” Browns coach Eric Mangini said. “I think it’s great football weather and I think if you know how to play in it and it doesn’t because a factor and it doesn’t affect any part of our game then it becomes a real advantage, but you have to get used to it.”

Weather concerns aside, Bills quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has emerged to become the team’s No. 1 quarterback. No questions asked. Fitzpatrick is 207-for-355 passing for 2,384 yards with 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

“He definitely does a good job of looking off of his receivers,” Haden said. “Some quarterbacks are locked in, but he does a really good job of not keeping his eyes on his receivers. He definitely could throw the safety off.”

Yet if that weather forecast holds true, the Bills will need to run the game and it is something they’ve done with success. Buffalo rushed for 134 against the Patriots, 137 against the Chiefs and combined to rush for 350 in back-to-back wins over Detroit and Cincinnati. No shock there.

What is a shock is that rookie C.J. Spiller out of Clemson has not made an instant impact. He has only 199 yards on 48 carries while Fred Jackson leads the team with 663 yards rushing and five touchdowns on 152 attempts.

“I like coaching all the time but I love the bad weather,” Browns defensive coordinator Rob Ryan said. “I’m a bad weather guy, built for it. Really, it’s fun. Someone just told me we’re in December. The great thing is in the NFL, December it’s always the toughest guys win and the best coaches win so (shoot) we’re going to be great. Our defense is as tough as there is, our players are tough and we got the best coaches so we’re looking forward to this month.”

Scout.com: Browns-Bills: Don's Game Preview
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Browns-Bills: Game Scout


By The Sports Xchange

Posted Dec 11, 2010




The raw data you need to prepare for Sunday's battle in Buffalo.

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Cleveland Browns (5-7) at Buffalo Bills (2-10)
KICKOFF: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
GAMEDATE: 12/12/10
SURFACE: FieldTurf
OBR GAME THREAD: Click this link if you know what's good for you.
TV: CBS, Don Criqui, Steve Beuerlein

PREDICTION: Browns 23-19

KEYS TO THE GAME: The Browns play power football and should win the battle at the line of scrimmage against a team without a dominant front on either side of the ball. The goal is to get RB Peyton Hillis going and ride him through the fourth quarter, when an undermanned Bills defense has given up several long runs. The Browns aren't explosive offensively. The Bills can put up points, but have been forced to shuffle their offensive line. RB Fred Jackson must start strong because protection for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick could be suspect.

FAST FACTS: The Browns have won three straight in the series. ... The Bills have six interceptions in the past three games (eight total in 2010).


GAME PLAN: With a 60 percent chance of snow or freezing rain in the forecast, both teams better have their running games in order. Buffalo's 32nd-ranked run defense must find a way to slow down Cleveland RB Peyton Hillis, the kind of big, bruising back that usually tops 100-plus yards with ease. Stopping Hillis and putting the game in QB Jake Delhomme's hands would be a good move. Delhomme, who will start if rookie Colt McCoy (high ankle sprain) remains sidelined, has completed almost 70 percent of his throws in McCoy's absence but was also intercepted three times by Buffalo in a 20-9 Carolina loss a year ago. Buffalo's running game has sputtered of late and needs more of a contribution from rookie C.J. Spiller. QB Ryan
Fitzpatrick needs an error-free game and can't be such a risk-taker in what figures to be a close, low-scoring game.

MATCHUPS TO WATCH: Bills 32nd-ranked run defense vs. Browns RB Peyton Hillis, who is 38 yards shy of 1,000 yards. He also has 11 touchdowns.

-- Bills SS Donte Whitner, who is banged up, vs. Browns TE Ben Watson, who has 50 catches for 574 yards and three scores. He caught 10 balls in last week's win over Miami.

-- Bills WR Lee Evans, facing his hometown team, vs. Browns rookie CB Joe Haden, their first-round pick who has a team-leading five interceptions.

-- Bills C Eric Wood, making his first NFL start at center, vs. Browns NT Shaun Rogers, who is questionable with hip and ankle injuries.


INSIDE THE CAMPS


Browns
December in the North is the time to run the football, and Sunday in Ralph Wilson Stadium against the Bills' defense is the place the Browns plan to run it.

The Bills, 2-10, rank dead last against the run. They are allowing an average of 170.9 yards a game on the ground and they have allowed 14 rushing touchdowns.

As though he were preparing his mind and body for Orchard Park, where the forecast calls for rain and snow and a day-time high of 34 degrees on Sunday, Peyton Hillis wore no sleeves under his jersey at practice Wednesday and Thursday. Save for a couple brave linemen, he was the only one with his arms exposed to the biting 25-degree temperature.

"I love cold weather," Hillis said. "As far as running the ball, I think everything slows down a little bit. You can read things more patiently. You just have to have the right mindset.

"When you're warming up it gets bad, but when you start playing the game, you hardly notice it. When you come off the field you notice it a little bit. Halftime and when you're not in the game is probably the worst part of it."

Last year December was a month to remember for the Browns because of the way they ran. Led by Jerome Harrison the last three games, the Browns rushed for 900 yards over the last four games, all victories. In the 12 games prior the Browns rushed for 1,187 yards and lost 11 times.

"This time of year you have to be able to run the ball because you can't throw it quite as far," tackle Joe Thomas said. "Sometimes you get bad weather when you can't throw it at all. It comes down to defense and being able to run the ball."

The run offense has been up and down the last few weeks. They rushed for 88 yards in Jacksonville and lost. They rushed for 152 yards against Carolina and won. They rushed for just 52 yards last week in Miami, their second-lowest ground production of the season, and still beat the Dolphins, 13-10.

Coach Eric Mangini is not buying the notion running against the Bills will be a jog in the park.

"They have two big, physical guys up the middle," Mangini said, referring to Kyle Williams and Marcus Stroud. "Chris Kelsay (an end) causes problems in the running game. (Linebacker) Paul Posluszny makes plays all over the field.

"We have to do a good job of being able to handle those guys, being able to anchor and sustain the blocks and then making sure you get a hat on hat in the running game. You've got somebody on somebody every time."

The Browns are 3-1 when Hillis rushed for 100 yards. He rushed for 144 yards against the Ravens in a 24-17 loss. He rushed for 102 against the Bengals in a 23-20 victory, 184 against the Patriots when the Browns won, 34-24, and 131 against the Panthers in a 24-23 Browns victory.

Bills
Cleveland native Donte Whitner is looking forward to another matchup against his hometown Browns. The Bills (2-10) host the Browns (5-7) Sunday, the fourth consecutive season the teams from different AFC divisions have faced each other.

Cleveland has won the past three meetings 8-0, 29-27 and 6-3 in games punctuated by mistakes, odd happenings and brutal weather.

The 8-0 game was played in whiteout conditions in Cleveland while last year's game featured wind gusts of more than 25 mph.

Sunday's forecast in Buffalo calls for frigid temperatures, snow and maybe freezing rain. Whitner has about 70 friends and family coming in for the game.

"I remember not being able to do anything on offense or defense because we were sliding everywhere," Whitner said of the 8-0 game in 2007. "I think it'll be easier this time because they have grass and we have turf, so it will be easier as far as traction. But as far as dealing with the weather, it's always tough especially in Cleveland and Buffalo."

Dealing with opposing tight ends is always tough on the Bills, too. Buffalo's challenge this week is dealing with tight end Ben Watson, who enjoyed many big games against the Bills while a member of the New England Patriots.

Watson has a career-best 50 catches for 575 yards and three touchdowns so far for the Browns.

While covering the tight end is usually the responsibility of the strong safety in most defenses, it's not Whitner's job on every play, coach Chan Gailey said. He's happy with how Whitner has performed; the 2006 first-round pick is second on the team in tackles with 110 and third in passes defended with six. Last week he picked up his first interception.

"You can't put it on one guy," Gailey said when asked about his team's struggles against tight ends. "Everybody gets to take part in that. It's not Donte Whitner, it's not one guy, it never is. Nothing is ever one guy. That's what makes this the amazing game that it is. It takes everybody to get the job done. He has not had total responsibility for that or we haven't put the major responsibility of that on him all year. We're all a part of it back there."

Indeed, a lot of Buffalo's struggles have also involved play by the outside linebackers, or lack of play. Reggie Torbor, Kawika Mitchell (since released) and rookie Antonio Coleman have all been lost for the season with injuries. Former Pro Bowler Shawne Merriman, picked up on waivers, never made it into a game before going on IR with a problem Achilles. This week, former Patriot Pierre Woods was signed. He's expected to play against the Browns.


Scout.com: Browns-Bills: Game Scout
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Old 12-12-2010
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Took care of your double post there Bernie. Thanks for posting this though to get some game-day discussion going.

It's a SNOW GAME! I always get excited for these kinds of games but growing up a CFL fan you learn to love snow, and snow football games. I think it will be a good test for both teams as this is kind of their 'element'. Shame Colt wasn't healthy as it would be nice to get him acquainted with the novelty ASAP.

I think it's going to be another ugly game. 6-3 Ugly? Hopefully not but I think it will not be pretty. It's going to be fun to watch none the less though. Hoping for a Browns win, would love to see us claw over the 5-win mark and have it 'official' that we've improved rather than having to crunch the numbers hard to show the true evolution of this team from 2009 to 2010.
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BROWNS 2012: We have our "New Offense" It's Put up or shut up time.
Weeden gives us a QB with skills McCoy does not have.
Richardson gives us a HB with abilities the Browns have not seen in decades!
The message is clear, we want to score more than 13.6 PPG this year.

WOOF WOOF WOOF!

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This will probably be a close game, and the Bills could easily come out on top. Weather tends to even out the playing field, and I guarantee the Bills are looking at this game as one they can win.
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