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Originally Posted by ramrod I guess thats the only thing that I worry about as well, is getting under center. Alot of college teams are switching to that offense and we will see more QB's come out that way. Hell the NFL is gradually going to the shotgun more and more. Me personally I think that he has the head for it and Im sure he will practice his ass off to be a good one under center, with his talent I dont worry (to much) about the transition.
So you're saying that you would put him in the 17-25 range because of why? Injuries? He injured his shoulder once and then tried to come back to quick. Before that he was never injured and very well could have been the #1 overall pick last year, after that unreal season he had in 2008.
Just the accuracy/intangables alone net him in the top 10 and yes, because you are a QB in a QB driven league you should be more valuable. A good QB is by far more valuable than a CB or Safety IMO. Normally you dont get to the playoffs with a good CB. While the Jets made it this year and can prove me wrong, they could of very well not been in the playoffs, hell their coach thought they were mathematically out. But look at that CB from the Raiders that I wont even try to spell.
If you have a great QB you should always be in the playoffs and challenging for the super bowl. Even though McNabb never won one, he turned that organization around and made the playoffs how many years? Took them to the NFC championship how many times? Also took them to the super bowl. That has ALOT to do with him. Sure their are other pieces but hes been there for a while and seen alot of people come and go and they are still always in the hunt.
THey might say that 95% of people say that he has a "chance" at being a good one because they cover their ass, what Im saying is if 95% of people are syaing that then he must be good. But hell, you're right, you never know but if you dont shoot you dont score. This position happens to be the highest risk highest award that their is and thats why the value on them goes way up. Id bet hes going to be a very good to great one and I would take a chance for sure. Even if we have to move up. Im also a betting man. |
Good points to be sure. But you're also illuminating some very real contributors to quarterback prospects being over-valued.
You said,
"Me personally I think that he has the head for it and Im sure he will practice his ass off to be a good one under center." Based on what? There is scant little information available.
Don't get me wrong, he seems like a bright kid. But you just don't know how he's going to react.
I rate him 17-25 because of the injury issues, a middle of the road arm, and his lack of experience under center. He's face little adversity in his college career. And I don't know how well he can take a punch.
I'm not a doctor, but I am extremely cautious about kids who get injured in routine contact. When you see a guy get tackled, take the weight of the defender as would happen on any number of plays - and come up with a separated shoulder. It's not like this was a fluke hit, a' la Drew Brees. You know where the arm gets hung up and twisted in nine directions. This was simply taking the weight of the defender.
I have the same fear about collar bones. Again, I'm not a doctor. But it's been my experience when guys take what looks like a routine shot, and break a collarbone, you can bet it's not the last time you're going to see that. Same is true of shoulder separations. They tend to recur. Stingers, concussions, I can go on.
Truth be told, I had him rated Top 15 last season, prior to the injury, and the highest rated quarterback on my board. So, you can blame the bulk of my change of opinion on the injury. As a side note, I also had him as the only quarterback worthy of a 1st round pick, so there you go. You would've had to lock me in a closet on draft day to get any team of mine to draft Sanchez or Stafford above #20 overall.
-jj