2016 Composite Mock Draft

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I did this last year and it got a good response, so here it is again for 2016.

Got 22 in here so far, hoping to get to 30 by draft day. I expect CBS Sports (Prisco, Brinson, Kirwan), NFL.com (Casserly, Mayock), and SI (King, Banks) to add others, plus maybe one more for Yahoo since Shaun King is no longer there. I'm trying to stay with major independent sources as much as possible-- nothing from team websites, team beat writers, or blogging nobodies.

DJ Boyer (DraftSite.com), updated February 23
Rob Rang (CBS Sports), updated February 22
Dane Brugler (CBS Sports), updated February 21
Todd McShay (ESPN), updated February 1
Mel Kiper Jr. (ESPN), updated February 19
Walter Cherepinsky (WalterFootball.com), updated February 24
Charlie Campbell (WalterFootball.com), updated February 22
DraftTek, updated February 19
Chad Reuter, (NFL.com), updated February 17
Lance Zierlein, (NFL.com), updated February 18
Bucky Brooks, (NFL.com), updated February 22
Daniel Jeremiah, (NFL.com), updated February 16
Charles Davis, (NFL.com), updated February 22
Dan Kadar (SBNation), updated February 22
Peter Schrager (Fox Sports), updated February 22
Chris Burke (Sports Illustrated), updated February 10
Eric Edholm (Yahoo Shutdown Corner), updated February 17
Josh Norris (NBC Sports/Rotoworld), updated February 11
Eric Galko (Sporting News/Optimum Scouting), updated February 9
Nolan Vasan (NFLDraftGeek.com), updated February 22
Steve Palazzolo (PFF), updated February 2
Matt Miller (Bleacher Report), updated February 8

The way I do it is to go through all the drafts, compile who each team is taking, figure out who goes to what team most, and run it down from there. If a player is taken the most by multiple teams, he goes to whoever has the higher pick. So this can result in some oddities-- Jalen Ramsey is not the top guy in any spot so despite being a consensus Top 6 guy on every mock, he falls through the cracks.

Ties are broken by whoever is selected highest on any mock. So if a team has two players getting taken 4 times each but one is picked 5th at his highest while the other is picked 8th at his highest, the tie goes to the player who went with that high point of 5th. The Ogbah-Dodd-Correa tie at 29 was a crazy one because Ogbah and Dodd each went 10th on one, 16th on one, then finally broke the tie at at 17th where Ogbah was picked four times to Dodd's one.

1. Tennessee: Laremy Tunsil (19 of 22 have him going first; 2 have Bosa, 1 has Ramsey)
2. Cleveland: Jared Goff (11/22; 9 have Wentz)
3. San Diego: DeForest Buckner (9/22; Ramsey is on 8)
4. Dallas: Myles Jack (8/22; 7 say Bosa, 4 say Ramsey)
5. Jacksonville: Joey Bosa (7/22; 6 have Ramsey)
6. Baltimore: Ronnie Stanley (7/22; 3 have Ramsey)
7. San Francisco: Laquon Treadwell (4/22; 8 have Goff)
8. Miami: Vernon Hargreaves (10/22)
9. Tampa Bay: Noah Spence (8/22)
10. NY Giants: Ezekiel Elliott (4/22; 4 have Buckner, 3 have Lawson)
11. Chicago: Jaylon Smith (5/22)
12. New Orleans: A'Shawn Robinson (8/22; 4 have Rankins)
13. Philadelphia: Paxton Lynch (7/22; 4 have Wentz, 4 have Conklin)
14. Oakland: Mackenzie Alexander (7/22)
15. Los Angeles: Carson Wentz (3/22; 7 say Lynch, 6 say Treadwell)
16. Detroit: Sheldon Rankins (3/22; 3 say Reed)
17. Atlanta: Shaq Lawson (5/22; 4 say Ogbah)
18. Indianapolis: Jack Conklin (4/22; 4 say Elliot and Decker each)
19. Buffalo: Robert Nkemdiche (6/22)
20. NY Jets: Leonard Floyd (5/22; 6 have Elliott, 4 say Ragland)
21. Washington: Reggie Ragland (3/22; Alexander, Nkemdiche, and Robinson appear here 4 times each)
22. Houston: Vernon Butler (3/22; Elliott falls here 7 times)
23. Minnesota: Cody Whitehair (4/22; Lee, Coleman, and Thomas are here 3 each)
24. Cincinnati: Corey Coleman (6/22)
25. Pittsburgh: Eli Apple (8/22; 5 say Kendall Fuller)
26. Seattle: Taylor Decker (3/22)
27. Green Bay: Darron Lee (4/22; Reed, Clark, Dodd, and Henry all are here 3 times each)
28. Kansas City: Jarran Reed (3/22; 18 different players appear in this spot)
29. Arizona: Emmanuel Ogbah (3/22; Dodd and Correa each appear here 3 times)
30. Carolina: Kevin Dodd (4/22)
31. Denver: Hunter Henry (2/22; 18 different players appear in this spot)

Odd outliers: Jalen Ramsey

I'll try to update it every three weeks: March 16, April 6, and April 28.

 

[ToastedPagel]

Eight of the mocks I use have not yet updated for the Miami-Philadelphia trade, so I'm not going to do the March 16 update. I know you all are on pins and needles with anticipation, so I apologize.

 

[ToastedPagel]

Updated through April 11 with 28 drafts...

DraftSite: Boyer 4/1
CBS: Rang 4/8, Brugler 4/8, Prisco 4/5, Brinson 4/7, Dubin 3/31
ESPN: Kiper 4/6, McShay 3/24
WalterFootball: Cherepinsky 4/6, Campbell 4/11
DraftTek: 4/8
NFL.com: Reuter 3/28, Zierlein 3/21, Brooks 4/5, Jeremiah 3/29, Davis 3/23, Jones-Drew 3/21, Casserly 4/7, Taylor 3/29
SBNation: Kadar 4/11
Fox Sports: Schrager 3/28
SI: Burke 4/6
Yahoo: Edholm 4/1
Rotoworld: Norris 3/16
Sporting News: Galko 4/8
DraftGeek: Vasan 4/11
PFF: Palazzolo 4/6
Bleacher Report: Miller 4/11

TEN Tunsil (22/28) (6 say Ramsey)
CLE Wentz (18/28) (7 say Goff, 2 Tunsil, 1 Jack; somehow NONE say Ramsey)
SDC Ramsey (15) (10 say Buckner)
DAL Bosa (16)
JAX Jack (19)
BAL Buckner (13)
SF Goff (15)
PHI Elliott (13) (NOTE: Charley Casserly is either insane or senile; he has predicted PHI and MIA will swap picks again)
TB Hargreaves (12)
NYG Stanley (9)
CHI Floyd (5)
NO Rankins (8)
MIA Lee (5)
OAK Ragland (6) (5 say Apple)
RAM Treadwell (8) (8 also say Lynch; Treadwell takes the tie-breaker as his highest spot is 7th vs. Lynch's 8th)
DET Conklin (8) (5 say Decker)
ATL Lawson (3) (10 say Lee, 4 say Ragland)
IND Decker (7) (6 say Conklin)
BUF Reed (4) (4 say Nkemdiche, Reed's 11 high beats Nkemdiche's 14 high)
NYJ Lynch (4) (4 say Floyd, 4 say Spence; Lynch takes the tiebreak on the 8 high)
WSH Billings (7) (4 say A. Robinson)
HOU C. Coleman (11) (8 say W. Fuller)
MIN Doctson (11)
CIN W. Fuller (5) (7 say C. Coleman, 5 say Doctson)
PIT M. Alexander (9) (8 say W. Jackson)
SEA Apple (3) (3 say Spriggs, Apple gets the tiebreaker; 20 different players are picked in this spot)
GB Reed (6) (6 say Ragland)
KC W. Jackson (4) (7 say Apple)
ARZ Kelly (6) (4 say W. Jackson, 3 say M. Alexander, 3 say Nkemdiche)
CAR Ogbah (5) (3 each say Spriggs and Dodd)
DEN Nkemdiche (4) (9 say Lynch)

Notable outliers: A. Robinson (23 of 28 have him going first round), Spence (15/28).

Most multi-round mocks have the Browns taking a WR at 32-- Boyer, Edholm, and Campbell say Doctson, Cherepinsky says Thomas, Reuter says Shepard, Vasan says Coleman, Palazzolo says Treadwell. DraftTek says Apple and McShay says Kelly.