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Not sure where you are getting your information, but it certainly doesn’t appear to be from a reliable source.
As I look at the data, I see no suggestion that the death rate is skyrocketing in any area of the country nor as the nation as a whole. The death rate in the United States has been remarkably stable for the past couple of weeks at about 1900 deaths per day on the average. It seems to be edging downward slightly, but that may be just normal variation. The same applies to the various states. For example, New York is relatively stable with about 325 deaths per day on the average. New Jersey has about 250, Ohio has about 45, Georgia has about 35, Nevada has about 7, Oklahoma has about 6 and California has about 75.
Understand that these are averages with day to day variations. For example, in the past 10 days, the California daily death totals have been: 32, 58, 86, 77, 90, 82, 77, 24, 71 and 93. As you can see, there is daily variability, but, overall, the data indicates relative stability in the rate over time. There is not an observable upward or downward trend from the data. The same is true for other states and for the nation as a whole. The national totals for the past 10 days are 1,157, 1,384, 2,470, 2,390, 2,201, 1,897, 1,691, 1,154, 1,324 and 2,350. Again, there is variability from day to day, but no trend.
It should be noted that occasionally a state will report a death total that is several times larger than prior days. A recent example is Pennsylvania. But I checked and found that that anomaly was due to an adjustment of the total for prior days.
I am, of course, aware that there are models out there that are forecasting significant changes in the future, but, as we all know, models can be made to say practically anything you want them to say. The data indicates no such thing.
That is essentially correct. It is the basic reason for the concentration of the virus in the New York/New Jersey area. Based on the number of active cases and the population of those two states, the chances that the next person a person in New York or New Jersey comes in contact will be someone with the virus is about 1.2%. In Ohio, it is 0.15%, in California, it is 0.11%, in Nevada it is 0.07% and in Montana, it is 0.004%
Right as rain, Lad, right as rain!
First, reopening has nothing whatever to do with the death of people in nursing homes. That is a function of people in nursing homes being visited by people, including staff, who have the virus. It has nothing to do with people eating lunch or dinner in a restaurant. Second, we will see how quickly people start going out to eat or renew shopping at the mall. It isn’t worse than said businesses being closed. If you disagree, I would appreciate an explanation (preferably on the Church and State board, of couse).
True for New York but not California. In this respect, California is similar to most red states. People in California do not generally take the subway to work. Most Californians drive their cars to work similar to the people in most red states. This limits their exposure to the virus.
There is no evidence that California will have a significantly different reopening experience than Texas or Georgia. The conditions for those three states are similar.
You are talking nonsense.
